Pollsters ICM Research call for Labour MP to withdraw opinion poll claims
In brief: Labour MP Clive Lewis has tweeted out a graphic, claiming to show the results of a constituency poll carried out by “ICM”. ICM Research, however, says it has no knowledge of every having conducted such a poll.
Interesting. Clive Lewis (Lab, Norwich S) tweets bar chart of an ICM constituency poll. ICM's head of research has no knowledge of the poll. pic.twitter.com/8ByhM1K8Kl
— Matt Singh (@MattSingh_) April 26, 2017
Neither I, nor anyone at @ICMResearch has any knowledge of this poll. Please withdraw our name from it.
— Martin Boon (@martinboon) April 26, 2017
UPDATE: And then the plot thickened:
For the record, I have never worked for @labourlewis or @representus_uk. The "constituency poll" tweeted earlier is nothing to do with me. https://t.co/9PeKE05HbX
— Chris Hanretty is staying home (@chrishanretty) April 26, 2017
Before finally:
I think we've sorted it now. ICM did a poll of Lab held seats for some group called RepresentUs…
— Anthony Wells (@anthonyjwells) April 26, 2017
…RepresentUs then did seat projections based on it. Wasn't a uniform swing, but a sort of "swing among Brexit", "swing among Leave"…
— Anthony Wells (@anthonyjwells) April 26, 2017
…with the proportions based on Chris's estimates. But Chris wasn't involved in the projections at all…
— Anthony Wells (@anthonyjwells) April 26, 2017
…then CL used those figures on his image, but mislabelled them as if they were an ICM constituency poll, which they weren't. End!
— Anthony Wells (@anthonyjwells) April 26, 2017
A little harsh Mark. Strictly speaking you’re right of course, but it’s just an extrapolation from a national poll.