European Parliament election results: rolling coverage
More analysis of the election results, and what the Lib Dems need to do next, will appear in the next Liberal Democrat Newswire (sign up here) and in the next episode of the Never Mind The Bar Charts podcast.
Well, here we go…
It’s been an election campaign with remarkably good polls for the Liberal Democrats, even suggesting the party could beat the Conservatives for the first time in a national election since 1906. Turnout figures coming out since Friday have been positive too.
What will happen? Check back and read updates as they come.
The short version:
Best ever Lib Dem European election results.
More Lib Dem MEPs than MPs.
First time out-polled Conservatives in national contest since 1906.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Vote share across England and Wales (Scotland & Northern Ireland to come). Almost every figure is remarkable in its own way. pic.twitter.com/0n9dYOyLlM
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 27, 2019
The longer version:
Huge collapse in the Labour vote in Haringey. https://t.co/j6sr2JMjyy
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Leeds result are the first in and they don't fit the media narrative: net change for Brexit Party / Ukip is only +5, but Lib Dems up 12, Greens up 7 and CUK up 3. That's a #RemainSurge
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
These #EuropeanElection2019 results are going to make for some stonking LibDem barcharts
— Stephen Tall (@stephentall) May 26, 2019
Fun detail to look out for: looking likely Lib Dems will top the poll in both @heidiallen75 and @ChukaUmunna's patches.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Lib Dems second in Redbridge!
In fact, given our recent electoral record in Redbridge:
WTF LIB DEMS SECOND IN REDBRIDGE!?! https://t.co/YDtMh15RMY— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
The story the media are missing: even in North East, first full declared region, the Brexit/Ukip vote change is +16, but the Lib Dem / Green / CUK change is +18. It's the Remainers who are gaining the most.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
I guess Jacob Rees-Mogg doesn't have much of an electoral pull in his home patch… https://t.co/b7GDShqlRO
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
However, in @vincecable's patch…https://t.co/6JHjtbeoeQ
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
And in Jeremy Corbyn's backyard… Liberal Democrats top the poll in Islington!
LIB DEMS +21% — LABOUR -19%
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Note that Labour's vote is down *more* in Remain areas… pic.twitter.com/YfGqpzrQgT
— Will Jennings (@drjennings) May 26, 2019
@Barb_G and @LNethsingha are the first Lib Dem MEPs of the night, from East of England pic.twitter.com/RnwWwH2BO8
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Top in London! Three MEPs! pic.twitter.com/JGOa7w5717
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
This is the sort of result that, on other nights, would have me automatically thinking, 'Oh, that account must have been hacked'. https://t.co/IPS81ioui1
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Hey London 😍 pic.twitter.com/DiJr7E9608
— Stephen Tall (@stephentall) May 26, 2019
Alistair Campbell reveals – he voted Lib Dem due to #Brexit.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Fab to see @shaffaqmohd elected as an MEP – and that our MEP group is looking both big and diverse.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Former Lib Dem MEP @dianapwallis failed to get elected for @ForChange_Now
— Jonathan Calder (@lordbonkers) May 26, 2019
We're nearly two hours into the BBC coverage and so far they haven't had a Lib Dem on the panel. Which is genuinely quite impressive.
— Ben Rathe (@benrathe) May 26, 2019
Lib Dem councillor Luisa Porritt's victory speech at City Hall. 'We must have a people's vote to resolve once and for all what our relationship with Europe looks like'. pic.twitter.com/wM2MdM9h7d
— Richard Osley (@RichardOsley) May 26, 2019
Compare this list with who actually got elected and you see just how much the media fixated on certain stories that turned out to be way off what the voters were thinking. https://t.co/5zGwlt3oLI
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
Widdecombe says the result "reaffirms the vote of 2016". NO it does not! Put Lib Dem and Green share together (41%) and it beats Brexit Party share (37%) in South West – and lots of other regions too.
— Jane Merrick (@janemerrick23) May 26, 2019
Next time someone complains about the proportionality of LibDem barcharts, show them *this* from Sky News (leading @adamboultonSKY to call LibDem increase "modest") pic.twitter.com/SiPNC3WSAJ
— Stephen Tall (@stephentall) May 26, 2019
So @libdems, Greens & ChangeUK beat Brexit Party & UKIP in the popular vote across the South West. Not such a Leave region now, eh? https://t.co/Mw5PFRVqDK
— Cllr Martin Horwood (@MartinChelt) May 26, 2019
Lib Dems recruiting more Marks as members. Good good good. https://t.co/UUiHRwHYzF
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
THREE seats in the South East for the Lib Dems. Even with the couple of polls putting the Lib Dems on 20% nationally that didn't seem possible.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
A little note: when pundits say it is the worst Conservative result since 1832, that's because 1832 is where many reference books start. It's worst too than any election before then.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 26, 2019
The 'two main parties' are now projected to get less than a quarter of the votes *between them*. The 23% they are likely to get isn't more than the Lib Dems got on their own in 2010.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 27, 2019
Sounds like a "core vote" strategy I've heard of somewhere before, @markpack … https://t.co/OuN7n55TuP
— David Hall-Matthews (@DHallMatthews) May 27, 2019
Odd that media letting Nigel Farage repeatedly claim without contradiction that The Brexit Party is 6 weeks old.
The Brexit Party Limited was incorporated with Companies House on 23 November 2018.
— Mark Pack 🔶 (@markpack) May 27, 2019
UPDATE: And here are the European Parliament election results broken down by constituency estimates.
Somehow we must get headlines changed to reflect fact overall remain voters outnumbered leave.
Why was the election coverage on BBC 1 on Sunday night so boring, given what was happening. Why do they insist on getting views from party representatives rather than showing the results as they come in- from all over Europe in this case ! Results from individual councils would have shown the much more accurate and exciting change that was really happening. Instead the BBC subjected us to interviews with party reps who had no idea what was going on !